Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.004592 0.005040 0.005522 0.006083 0.006718 0.007418 0.008250
2025-10-19 0.003813 0.004425 0.005135 0.006025 0.007120 0.008438 0.010164
2025-10-26 0.003365 0.004050 0.004882 0.005980 0.007412 0.009248 0.011829
2025-11-02 0.003025 0.003742 0.004646 0.005888 0.007585 0.009876 0.013297
2025-11-09 0.002802 0.003550 0.004521 0.005906 0.007879 0.010671 0.015082
2025-11-16 0.002591 0.003348 0.004359 0.005843 0.008034 0.011268 0.016642
2025-11-23 0.002393 0.003145 0.004170 0.005716 0.008073 0.011680 0.017954
2025-11-30 0.002280 0.003048 0.004119 0.005777 0.008389 0.012545 0.020139
2025-12-07 0.002217 0.003013 0.004150 0.005960 0.008906 0.013791 0.023197
2025-12-14 0.002088 0.002875 0.004017 0.005875 0.008979 0.014292 0.024963
2025-12-21 0.001963 0.002732 0.003867 0.005747 0.008962 0.014627 0.026455
2025-12-28 0.001868 0.002630 0.003771 0.005696 0.009068 0.015192 0.028509
2026-01-04 0.001805 0.002575 0.003750 0.005779 0.009435 0.016329 0.032111
2026-01-11 0.001715 0.002474 0.003651 0.005722 0.009549 0.017000 0.034855
2026-01-18 0.001637 0.002386 0.003566 0.005680 0.009683 0.017728 0.037906
2026-01-25 0.001557 0.002291 0.003461 0.005594 0.009719 0.018254 0.040581
2026-02-01 0.001503 0.002234 0.003417 0.005611 0.009960 0.019255 0.044776
2026-02-08 0.001439 0.002158 0.003334 0.005551 0.010038 0.019901 0.048172
2026-02-15 0.001370 0.002069 0.003225 0.005433 0.009981 0.020227 0.050722
2026-02-22 0.001335 0.002035 0.003209 0.005490 0.010301 0.021501 0.056600
2026-03-01 0.001320 0.002034 0.003250 0.005661 0.010888 0.023537 0.065738
2026-03-08 0.001268 0.001967 0.003169 0.005582 0.010906 0.024118 0.070038
2026-03-15 0.001213 0.001893 0.003071 0.005462 0.010818 0.024404 0.073371